Expected Value (EV)
Expected Value is the average amount a player can expect to win or lose per bet over an extended period. Calculated by multiplying the probability of each outcome by its payoff, then summing the results. In roulette, the negative expected value represents the house edge advantage. Understanding EV helps players recognize that all casino games favor the house in the long term, making responsible bankroll management essential.
House Edge
The House Edge is the mathematical advantage the casino maintains over players, expressed as a percentage. In American roulette with 38 numbers (including 0 and 00), the house edge on even-money bets is approximately 5.26%. In European roulette with 37 numbers (single 0), the house edge is 2.70%. This advantage ensures the casino remains profitable over time regardless of short-term results.
Probability
Probability is the mathematical measure of likelihood that an event will occur, expressed as a ratio or percentage from 0 to 1 (or 0% to 100%). In roulette, the probability of any single number winning is 1 in 37 (European) or 1 in 38 (American). All probabilities must sum to one, and understanding probability helps players accurately assess their chances of winning specific bets.
Variance
Variance measures the fluctuation or spread in results around the expected value. High variance means results can deviate significantly from the average in the short term, while low variance indicates results stay closer to the mean. Roulette exhibits high variance, which is why players can experience winning and losing streaks despite the consistent house edge. Understanding variance helps manage expectations.